DOI : https://doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.13.4.17403

Scenario Planning and Simulation in Disaster Response

M Halizahari (1), Muhammad Ridwan Wong (2), Noor Diyana Fazan Ahmad (3), Ruzaidin Zain (4), Noor Azmi Hj Zainol (5)
(1) HADR Research Center, National Defence University of Malaysia, Kem Perdana Sg Besi 57000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
(2) HADR Research Center, National Defence University of Malaysia, Kem Perdana Sg Besi 57000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
(3) HADR Research Center, National Defence University of Malaysia, Kem Perdana Sg Besi 57000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
(4) HADR Research Center, National Defence University of Malaysia, Kem Perdana Sg Besi 57000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
(5) HADR Research Center, National Defence University of Malaysia, Kem Perdana Sg Besi 57000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Fulltext View | Download
How to cite (IJASEIT) :
Halizahari, M, et al. “Scenario Planning and Simulation in Disaster Response”. International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology, vol. 13, no. 4, Aug. 2023, pp. 1235-41, doi:10.18517/ijaseit.13.4.17403.
Citation Format :
This study examines disaster response effectiveness. This workshop was preceded by a case scenario featuring an explosion in a heavily populated Kuala Lumpur City, Malaysia, produced by the researchers. The agencies involved used this case scenario as a storyline to implement the response. The coordination efforts undertaken by each agency can be seen. It is plain to see the efforts of collaboration that each agency has been putting forth. Focus group discussion served as one forum for debating the course of action taken; at the same time, the action taken by each agency involved should align with the roles and responsibilities outlined. During the workshop, it was revealed that it assisted researchers in better understanding agencies' disaster response process in identifying shortcomings, determining gaps, and improving on the processes already in place for disaster response. However, it was noted that the success of implementing SP&S lies in the involvement and participation of each agency. Therefore, it can be concluded that communication and coordination between agencies are very important in the success of an operation, not only during SP&S but also during disaster response.

V. Bollettino and B. Anders, “Civil - Military Coordination”¯: A Frame- work for Measuring Effectiveness in Humanitarian Response,” J. Humanit. Aff. Vol., vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 3-10, 2020.

A. D. B. Cook and S. Yogendran, “Conceptualising humanitarian civil-military partnerships in the Asia-Pacific: (Re-)ordering cooperation,” Aust. J. Int. Aff., vol. 74, no. 1, pp. 35-53, 2020, doi: 10.1080/10357718.2019.1693498.

W. J. W. Botzen, O. Deschenes, and M. Sanders, “The economic impacts of natural disasters: A review of models and empirical studies,” Rev. Environ. Econ. Policy, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 167-188, 2019, doi: 10.1093/reep/rez004.

J. Santos, C. Yip, S. Thekdi, and S. Pagsuyoin, “Workforce/Population, Economy, Infrastructure, Geography, Hierarchy, and Time (WEIGHT): Reflections on the Plural Dimensions of Disaster Resilience,” Risk Anal., vol. 40, no. 1, pp. 43-67, 2020, doi: 10.1111/risa.13186.

M. Crosweller and P. Tschakert, “Disaster management leadership and policy making: a critical examination of communitarian and individualistic understandings of resilience and vulnerability,” Clim. Policy, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 203-221, 2021, doi: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1833825.

C. Huo et al., “Scientific risk performance analysis and development of disaster management framework: A case study of developing Asian countries,” J. King Saud Univ. - Sci., vol. 33, no. 2, p. 101348, 2021, doi: 10.1016/j.jksus.2021.101348.

A. Sharma, S. K. Ojha, L. D. Dimov, J. G. Vogel, and J. Nowak, “Long-term effects of catastrophic wind on southern US coastal forests: Lessons from a major hurricane,” PLoS One, vol. 16, no. 1 January, pp. 1-27, 2021, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0243362.

M. A. Thiri, “Uprooted by tsunami: A social vulnerability framework on long-term reconstruction after the Great East Japan earthquake,” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct., vol. 69, no. December 2021, p. 102725, 2022, doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102725.

P. T. Buergelt, D. Paton, A. Campbell, H. James, and A. Cottrell, “Killing Two Birds with One Stone: Developing Northern Australian Adaptive Capabilities to Sustainably Develop Competent and Thriving Communities Capable of Responding Effectively to Natural Hazards,” Lead. from North Rethink. North. Aust. Dev., pp. 391-418, 2021, doi: 10.22459/ln.2021.18.

A. M. Quarshie and R. Leuschner, “Interorganizational Interaction in Disaster Response Networks: A Government Perspective,” J. Supply Chain Manag., vol. 56, no. 3, pp. 3-25, 2020, doi: 10.1111/jscm.12225.

N. Avdan and C. Webb, “The big, the bad, and the dangerous: public perceptions and terrorism,” Dyn. Asymmetric Confl. Pathways Towar. Terror. Genocide, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 3-25, 2019, doi: 10.1080/17467586.2017.1414276.

S. Baadel, “20th Anniversary of 9-11”¯: Corporate Disaster Preparedness , Lessons Learned , 20 th Anniversary of 9-11”¯: Corporate Disaster Preparedness , Lessons Learned , and Ways Forward,” no. August, 2021.

B. M. Sibai, S. Caritis, and J. Hauth, “What We Have Learned About Terrorism since 9/11,” J. Econ. Lit., vol. 57, no. 2, pp. 275-328, 2019, doi: 10.1016/S0146-0005(03)00022-3.

O. Navarro et al., “Determinants of coping strategies in two types of natural hazards: Flash floods and costal flooding,” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct., vol. 46, no. January, 2020, doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101514.

J. B. Jaafar, A. N. B. Ishak, S. Bin Hassan, K. F. Bin Adrutdin, and M. I. Qureshi, “A study of customer satisfaction with planning movement of goods during disaster aid programs: A case study of flood hit in segamat, johor,” J. Environ. Treat. Tech., vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 419-428, 2020.

S. H. Hashemi Petrudi, M. Tavana, and M. Abdi, “A comprehensive framework for analyzing challenges in humanitarian supply chain management: A case study of the Iranian Red Crescent Society,” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct., vol. 42, no. July 2019, p. 101340, 2020, doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101340.

S. K. Aros and D. E. Gibbons, “Exploring communication media options in an inter-organizational disaster response coordination network using agent-based simulation,” Eur. J. Oper. Res., vol. 269, no. 2, pp. 451-465, 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.013.

M. A. Azimi, S. A. Syed Zakaria, and T. A. Majid, “Disaster risks from economic perspective: Malaysian scenario,” IOP Conf. Ser. Earth Environ. Sci., vol. 244, no. 1, 2019, doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/244/1/012009.

R. A. Cook and E. J. Lodree, “Dispatching policies for last-mile distribution with stochastic supply and demand,” Transp. Res. Part E, vol. 106, pp. 353-371, 2017, doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2017.08.008.

E. Shittu, G. Parker, and N. Mock, “Improving communication resilience for effective disaster relief operations,” Environ. Syst. Decis., vol. 38, no. 3, pp. 379-397, 2018, doi: 10.1007/s10669-018-9694-5.

S. Muiz, S. Abd, N. Z. Zainol, N. Yahya, A. N. Rizalman, and S. Characteristics, “A Historical Review of Significant Earthquake in Region Surrounding Malaysia,” in International Conference on Durability of Building and Infrastructure, 2018, no. August, pp. 242-245.

F. R. Ahmadun, M. M. R. Wong, and A. Mat Said, “Consequences of the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami in Malaysia,” Saf. Sci., vol. 121, no. December 2004, pp. 619-631, 2020, doi: 10.1016/j.ssci.2019.05.016.

N. O. Chong and K. H. Kamarudin, “Disaster risk management in Malaysia: Issues and challenges from the persepctive of agencies,” Plan. Malaysia, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 105-117, 2018, doi: 10.21837/pmjournal.v16.i5.415.

A. O. Wahba, N. Y. Azab, and K. Nabil, “Towards impact-based flood forecasting and warning in Malaysia: A case study at Kelantan river,” J. Crit. Rev., vol. 7, no. 8, pp. 622-626, 2020, doi: 10.31838/jcr.07.08.138.

I. M. Shaluf, F. R. Ahmadun, S. Mustapha, A. M. Said, and R. Sharif, “Bright Sparklers fire and explosions: The lessons learned,” Disaster Prev. Manag. An Int. J., vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 214-221, 2002, doi: 10.1108/09653560210435812.

L. M. Sidek et al., “Towards impact-based flood forecasting and warning in Malaysia: A case study at Kelantan river,” IOP Conf. Ser. Earth Environ. Sci., vol. 704, no. 1, 2021, doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/704/1/012001.

E. Sathiamurthy, S. A. Halim, L. M. Supar, A. A. A. A. Hamid, K. Y. Hui, and N. S. Pauzi, “Kelantan central basin flood, december 2014: Causes and extend,” Bull. Geol. Soc. Malaysia, vol. 68, no. May, pp. 57-67, 2019, doi: 10.7186/bgsm68201905.

M. R. Mohamad, S. Bachok, M. Z. Mohd Zahari, O. A. Olabayonle, and N. A. M. Zulkifli, “Agencies’ Management Preparations and Proposed Evacuation Routes for Flood Disaster: a Case Study of Melaka,” Plan. Malaysia, vol. 19, no. 16, pp. 199-212, 2021, doi: 10.21837/pm.v19i16.964.

R. Dubey, N. Altay, and C. Blome, “Swift trust and commitment”¯: The missing links for humanitarian supply chain coordination”¯?,” Ann. Oper. Res., vol. 283, no. 1, pp. 159-177, 2019, doi: 10.1007/s10479-017-2676-z.

H. Gaspars-Wieloch, “Scenario planning combined with probabilities as a risk management tool - analysis of pros and cons,” Int. J. Econ. Bus. Res., vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 22-40, 2021, doi: 10.1504/IJEBR.2021.112015.

R. L. DeNolf and C. I. Kahwaji, EMS Mass Casualty Management. 2023.

Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:

    1. Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
    2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
    3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).