Multi-Objective Sensitivity Analyses for Power Generation Mix: Malaysia Case Study

Siti Mariam Mohd Shokri (1), Nofri Yenita Dahlan (2), Hasmaini Mohamad (3)
(1) Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM), Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia
(2) Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM), Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia
(3) Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM), Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia
Fulltext View | Download
How to cite (IJASEIT) :
Mohd Shokri, Siti Mariam, et al. “Multi-Objective Sensitivity Analyses for Power Generation Mix: Malaysia Case Study”. International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology, vol. 7, no. 4, Aug. 2017, pp. 1353-60, doi:10.18517/ijaseit.7.4.2329.
This paper presents an optimization framework to determine long-term optimal generation mix for Malaysia Power Sector using Dynamic Programming (DP) technique. Several new candidate units with a pre-defined MW capacity were included in the model for generation expansion planning from coal, natural gas, hydro and renewable energy (RE). Four objective cases were considered, 1) economic cost, 2) environmental, 3) reliability and 4) multi-objectives that combining the three cases. Results show that Malaysia optimum generation mix in 2030 for, 1) economic case is 48% from coal, 41% from gas, 3% from hydro and 8% from RE, 2) environmental case is 19% from coal, 58% from gas, 11% from hydro and 12% from RE, 3) for reliability case is 64% from coal, 32% from gas, 3% from hydro and 1% from RE and 4) multi-objective case is 49% from coal, 41% from gas, 7% from hydro and 3% from RE. The findings of this paper are the optimum generation mix for Malaysia from 2013 to 2030 which is less expensive, substantially reduce carbon emission and that less risky.  

Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:

    1. Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
    2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
    3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).